Suffrago UK Data Hub
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Independent service run by Suffrago – not an official government website. Every figure comes from an official UK publisher under its open licence and is checked against that source each time the data is refreshed.

Asylum grant rate at initial decision, UK

The latest quarters are provisional and will be revised in a future publication

The share of initial decisions on asylum claims in the UK that granted protection or other leave, each quarter since 2001, calculated on main applicants as the Home Office does.

Grant rate at initial decision

33.4%

Q2 2026 · provisional

Verified against source, 28 October 2026, 11:50 UTC
Grant rate at initial decision
0%20%40%60%80%Q1 2001Q2 2005Q3 2009Q4 2013Q1 2018Q2 2022Q2 202633.4%

Source: Home Office. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Data table

102 periods, newest first

PeriodGrant rate at initial decision
Q2 202633.4%
Q1 202636.1%
Q4 202540.4%
Q3 202540.1%
Q2 202540.1%
Q1 202547.6%
Q4 202451.5%
Q3 202460.6%
Q2 202433.1%
Q1 202442.2%
Q4 202359.8%
Q3 202379.6%
Q2 202367.0%
Q1 202366.4%
Q4 202273.4%
Q3 202277.1%
Q2 202276.5%
Q1 202277.1%
Q4 202175.4%
Q3 202174.1%
Q2 202171.7%
Q1 202168.2%
Q4 202046.5%
Q3 202028.9%
Q2 202041.6%
Q1 202057.6%
Q4 201954.9%
Q3 201951.7%
Q2 201951.8%
Q1 201949.7%
Q4 201839.9%
Q3 201835.9%
Q2 201831.0%
Q1 201826.3%
Q4 201727.9%
Q3 201730.5%
Q2 201735.0%
Q1 201734.0%
Q4 201636.3%
Q3 201629.1%
Q2 201634.5%
Q1 201635.9%
Q4 201539.4%
Q3 201541.5%
Q2 201543.6%
Q1 201536.5%
Q4 201445.8%
Q3 201438.8%
Q2 201439.7%
Q1 201436.5%
Q4 201337.9%
Q3 201336.5%
Q2 201336.4%
Q1 201339.9%
Q4 201236.4%
Q3 201239.1%
Q2 201233.9%
Q1 201235.0%
Q4 201135.3%
Q3 201135.2%
Q2 201130.7%
Q1 201129.4%
Q4 201027.8%
Q3 201025.9%
Q2 201024.3%
Q1 201024.8%
Q4 200922.8%
Q3 200921.5%
Q2 200929.0%
Q1 200941.4%
Q4 200832.1%
Q3 200827.4%
Q2 200831.1%
Q1 200831.3%
Q4 200728.9%
Q3 200729.4%
Q2 200723.5%
Q1 200724.6%
Q4 200623.7%
Q3 200619.1%
Q2 200620.2%
Q1 200622.1%
Q4 200521.7%
Q3 200515.8%
Q2 200517.0%
Q1 200515.7%
Q4 200415.3%
Q3 200410.4%
Q2 200410.7%
Q1 200412.6%
Q4 200312.0%
Q3 200312.2%
Q2 200313.8%
Q1 200326.3%
Q4 200231.9%
Q3 200232.5%
Q2 200235.9%
Q1 200235.5%
Q4 200131.7%
Q3 200127.8%
Q2 200126.2%
Q1 200122.8%

Download CSVDownload JSON with full provenance

Source and licence

Publisher
Home Office
Check it yourself
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/immigration-system-statistics-data-tables
Licence
Open Government Licence v3.0 – Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Retrieved
28 October 2026, 11:49 UTC
Raw files fetched

Verification

Verified against source, 28 October 2026, 11:50 UTC Run at 28 October 2026, 11:50 UTC; 102 of 102 figures matched the live source.

ResultCheckDetail
PassProvenance recordedHome Office; Open Government Licence v3.0; retrieved 2026-10-28T11:49:29Z; 2 raw file(s)
PassRaw files match recorded SHA-2562 of 2 files intact
PassRe-parsing raw files reproduces figures102 of 102 figures and the headline reproduced
PassFigures are finite numbers102 figures, 0 invalid
PassLive source matches every figure102 of 102 figures match exactly after downloading 2 source file(s) again (2 byte-identical); the headline matches
PassGOV.UK table is currentlatest period 2026 Q2 ended 120 days before retrieval (limit 200), from Asylum claims and initial decisions detailed datasets, year ending June 2026
PassAsylum summary table Asy_00a agrees18 of 18 figures match Asy_00a's 18 yearly rates in https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a85c315b0504df9f2c89800/asylum-summary-jun-2026-tables.ods, rebuilt from the main applicants' grants and refusals behind the stored quarters
PassSource page answershttps://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/immigration-system-statistics-data-tables – HTTP 200

Notes

  • Grants of protection or other leave over all grants and refusals of main applicants, leaving out withdrawn claims and administrative outcomes, as the Home Office calculates its grant rate. The hub calculates each quarter's rate from the detailed datasets' counts, to one decimal place; the Home Office's summary tables show whole percentages.
  • These are initial decisions only: outcomes may change on appeal or reconsideration.